Forecasting & Anomaly Detection
See demand shifts before they hit your supply chain. Spot anomalies before they become costly incidents. Turn reactive firefighting into proactive planning.
The Problem
Last month's stock-out cost you £4,000. The warning signs were in your data—you just couldn't see them. Without proper forecasting:
- Inventory is either too high (tying up cash) or too low (missed sales)
- Problems become visible only after they've become expensive
- Planning is based on gut feel, not data
- You're always reacting, never anticipating
What We Build
Demand Forecasting
Predict demand at SKU, category, or aggregate level—with confidence intervals.
Anomaly Detection
Automatic alerts when something's unusual—before it becomes a crisis.
Cash Flow Forecasting
Predict cash position with confidence—better numbers for banks and boards.
Capacity Planning
Forecast resource needs so you can staff appropriately.
Typical Results
Based on our project patterns, forecasting typically delivers:
- 15-30% reduction in stockouts
- 15-25% reduction in overstock
- 85% of problems caught before escalation (anomaly detection)
- Cash flow visibility that satisfies banks and investors
Results vary by data quality and business context. We agree success metrics upfront.
How It Works
We use proven time series methods—from classical statistics to modern machine learning—chosen based on your data, not our preference. Every model is:
- Explainable: You understand why it predicts what it predicts
- Validated: Tested on historical data before deployment
- Practical: Integrated into your workflow, not a standalone curiosity
Ready to start forecasting?
Book a discovery call to discuss your forecasting challenges.